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  5. The Determination of exchange Rate in Baht per Yen: Cointegration and Vector Error Correction Model
 
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The Determination of exchange Rate in Baht per Yen: Cointegration and Vector Error Correction Model

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 exchange rate in baht per yen_niramol_poomthan.pdf (291.91 KB)
Author(s)
Sudkhanung, Niramol
ภูมิฐาน รังคกูลนุวัฒน์
Other Contributor(s)
University of the Thai Chamber of Commerce. School of Economics
Publisher(s)
University of the Thai Chamber of Commerce
Date Issued
2007
ISSN
0125-3689
Resource Type
Text::Journal::Journal article
Language
English
Abstract
This research studies the determinant of the exchange rate system of Baht per Yen using the monetary portfolio synthesis model. The cointegration test proposed by Johansen (1995) is adopted to extract thelong-run relationship of variables; the vector error correction model is applied to exhibit the short-run adjustment. Data used in this study are monthly from September 1999 to July 2006. The results show that all variables in the model have a long-run relationship. The long-run relationships between exchange rate and the relative of money supply (m-m*), real income (y-y*), the different in interest rates (r-r*), and the different in inflation expectation corresponds to the hypotheses; while those between the exchange rate and the risk premium does not correspond to the hypothesis.
Subject(s)
Financial Economics
Keywords(s)
  • Exchange rate, Yen cu...

Journal
NIDA Development Journal
Access Rights
Open access
Rights
This work is protected by copyright. Reproduction or distribution of the work in any format is prohibited without written permission of the copyright owner.
Rights Holder
University of the Thai Chamber of Commerce
Bibliographic Citation
Niramol Sudkhanung, Poomthan Rangkakulnuwat (2007) The Determination of exchange Rate in Baht per Yen: Cointegration and Vector Error Correction Model. NIDA Development Journal Vol.47 No.3, 65-81.
URI
https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14437/3641
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Acquisition Date
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